While most military cooperation happens outside the Union State framework, the recent endorsement of a new Union State military doctrine shows the continued significance of the Union State to the two states’ security alliance. Despite the growing disagreements in the issues of the integration within the union state, the Kremlin and Lukashenka will not announce the end to the project. In 2005 Lukashenka praised ‘difficult but fruitful work’ towards its creation. not especially interested in the economic aspect of relations, if only for the proved to be serious catalysts for such contradictions. Russia is also quickly impersonated as Vladimir Putin: strong but unfair. Everything is going in this framework,” Zakharova said in the 60 Minutes show on the Rossiya 1 (VGTRK) television channel. Russia does not have economic levers to induce Belarus to station here Russian military bases and troops. Therefor it is questionable whether people are easily influenced by information that they strongly disagree upon, but it is quite possible that they would refer to the information as false. He has been detained several times by Russian authorities. Belarus’ population of 9.5 million people, 84% are ethnic Belarussians and 70% are native Russian speakers, Belarus’ only official language. In a Western perspective these are things that Russia can use for propaganda purposes meaning the deliberate, systematic attempt to shape perceptions and manipulate cognitions to achieve the goals of the propagandist (Jowet & O’Donell 2019: 6). The Ambassador of Kazakhstan remarked that the prices of Kazakh oil for Belarus would be higher than of the Russian one. For years in power, Lukashenka has staged the performance in front of Belarusian citizens: “a good president – bad officials”. On December 13, 2018, the Vice Premier of Russia Dmitriy Medvedev claimed: “Russia is ready to keep moving on the way of building up the union state, including the creation of the single currency emission centre, the unified customs, courts, auditing chamber.” Since then, practically every month the sides have been exchanging statements of strongly different variants of developments in the relations within the union state. development of the Union State, and so on. State. There is then, as in the case of Russia, tension about whether Belarus’s interests continue to be best served by the Union State. It was at a hunting lodge in the Belarussian forest that in 1991, the leaders of the Soviet Union’s three Slavic republics: Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine came together to formally end the Soviet Union by declaring their independence together in the Belzahevy Accords. Belarus was the first to fall during Operation Barbarossa, Nazi Germany’s invasion of the Soviet Union, and it is in Belarus during Operation Bagration that the Red Army opened the road to Berlin. Maçães is a former Europe minister of Portugal. provide safeguards against disintegration in different aspects of cooperation. It will not be energy and it will not be ideology bringing Russia back into the concert of Europe. Now, Putin has raised the possibility of further integration as an antidote to the current protests. In the first run of the elections, Lukashenka will declare his victory with an overwhelming majority with around 80 per cent of voters have cast their votes for him. unable to exercise broad powers because a common constitution has yet to be Either directly, or through his assignees (there will be no elections) in parliament, the president will be assigned other top officials; among all, he will be assigning and controlling, and will have a possibility to change the Prime Minister and Ministers. Hence the impasse. In Belarus, rumours were spreading that he had died… By the end of the sixth presidential term, he would be 70 years old. Legitimate soft power or malign influence? were signed. At least 10% of Europe’s oil needs come through the Druzhba pipeline in southern Belarus. increased by returning its original ambitions to create a unique international Thus, they are not “non-governmental” people say. Minsk’s support for Moscow’s foreign policy, the worsening conditions for
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